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Multiple times a day, each of the 122 National Weather Service forecast offices around the country issue technical discussions about the forecast.
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With that prologue, here is the opening to a technical discussion from the Weather Service in Juneau, issued on Tuesday morning. ALWAYS TALKING ABOUT THE FUTURE WHILE WHITE-WASHING THE PRESENT.
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The forecaster on duty at the time — clearly a male forecaster — wrote about the dilemma of choosing which computer model projections to give the most weight to, since each of the main models were showing different forecast scenarios. The main forecast models include the North American Model, or the NAM model, as well as the Global Forecast System, or GFS. PICKING A MODEL OF CHOICE FOR THE DAY IS A LITTLE LIKE SPEED-DATING: TOO LITTLE TIME/INFORMATION TO MAKE UP THE MIND LEADING TO REGRETS BY THE END OF THE DATE/SHIFT.
Forecasters also use a model run by Environment Canada, and one of the most accurate models is run at the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. THE AMERICAN NAM IS MODERN, DETAIL-ORIENTED, PROLIFIC, WILLING IF A LITTLE IMPETUOUS AND INCREDIBLY REACTIONARY.